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Mantic Monday 7/31/23: Room Temperature Superforecaster

Astral Codex Ten Podcast

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The CFTC's Pro-Market Commentary

Allowing election bets makes Wall Street less interested in elections, not more. The whole reason for Wall Street to gamble $100 million on election is to hedge the risk that Bernie Sanders will get elected and cost them $100 million. Sinclair Chan works at Manifold. She can be spotted at most Bay Area ACX meetups but didn't realize the degree to which she goes hard. Andrew Robinson also goes hard, though I'm having a tougher time finding the divine virtue underneath this one. Justin Moteen is the co-founder of Tinder. But I'm excited to learn the Tinder co-founder is a prediction market peeled. Forecasting based dating app when there's a link there

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