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Will there be a united Ireland?

The Inquiry

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Sinn Fein in the North and South of the Border

Sinn Fein could win elections in perpetuity north and south. It still wouldn't guarantee a United Ireland, but it incrementally increases the chances of a United Ireland. A new generation of Sinn Fein leadership on both sides of the border might also increase those chances. The likelihood of a referendum in the early 2030s is quite high. There are only two feasible models of a united Ireland. Northern Ireland would become part of the EU automatically after unification. But there are still many economic questions that would require answers.

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