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#042 Black Swans, The End of Jobs, and Long Volatility with Taylor Pearson of Mutiny Fund

Smart Friends

What's the Longest Possible Game?

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I'm always on the hunt for who is playing the longest possible game. Ed thorpe was, i forget exactly his relationship to kelly, but he was like one of the early partitionars of the kelly criterio. He'd like already made an insane amount of money, and he was like in a mansion in californiia,. I don'tknow thats a true. But he was performing extremely well over extremely long osasThe second pon in a row that ned thorpe has come up.

Topics:

(6:21) - What is your specific knowledge?

(7:20) - Taylor’s career

(12:38) - Transaction Cost Economics

(20:02) - The work behind Taylor’s first book: The End of Jobs

(21:20) - Was publishing that book a major inflection point in your career?

(23:53) - Taylor’s writing on the crypto space and work in investing & finance

(29:03) - Mutiny Funds

(32:57) - The Long-Volatility Strategy

(36:33) - The Thousand-Year Portfolio

(40:49) - Who is using the long-volatility strategy and how are they using it?

(43:16) - What does the strategy look like day to day?

(50:07) - Volatility Index

(55:33) - Are there future products in the funnel for Mutiny?

(57:44) - What do you look for in the hedge funds you assemble?

(1:00:20) - How long have you been building this core of knowledge?

(1:04:11) - How do you know when to shift your focus?

(1:07:11) - Are there people you look up to who are great examples of playing the long game?

(1:09:25) - What is the long game for Mutiny?

(1:12:49) - How do you maintain discipline when the world tells you to take the other path?

(1:16:22) - What mental model do you use most often?

Links:

Taylor’s website

Taylor’s The Interesting Times newsletter

The End of Jobs by Taylor Pearson

Blog post: Markets Are Eating The World by Taylor Pearson

The Kelly Criterion with Edward Thorp

The Cockroach Portfolio

The Volatility Index

The Origin of Wealth by Eric Beinhocker

Fortune's Formula by William Poundstone

A Man for All Markets by Edward Thorp

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