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Aaron Friedberg: The War in Ukraine and the Geopolitical Moment

Conversations with Bill Kristol

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What Do You Expect to See Over the Next Few Months?

I don't see the Ukrainians surrendering and giving up large chunks of their territory, if they can possibly avoid it. I think there's good reason to believe that they'll be able to continue to fight. If you're stuck, the way to get out of it is to inflict horrible damage on the population of your opponent. That just doesn't seem in the cards, although they might accept some kind of outcome that's a lot less than the one that they had hoped for. In either case, escalation or greater participation could have consequences that are difficult to proceed.

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