Astral Codex Ten Podcast cover image

A Failure, but Not of Prediction

Astral Codex Ten Podcast

00:00

Predicting the Scale of Coronavirus

Predicting the scale of coronavirus in mid-February, the time that we could have done something about it, was really hard. I conclude that predicting it was hard, even for smart and well-intentioned people like yourselves. Overall I give myself a solid B-minus, but if it was so easy, why didn't I post, hey everyone, I officially predict the coronavirus will be a nightmarish worldwide pandemic two months ago? Since you didn't do that, aside from the handful of you who did, we love you Balaji.

Play episode from 02:30
Transcript

The AI-powered Podcast Player

Save insights by tapping your headphones, chat with episodes, discover the best highlights - and more!
App store bannerPlay store banner
Get the app