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Polymarket Prediction Market and Election Outcomes
The chapter explores the accuracy of the Polymarket prediction market in forecasting election results, with a focus on the chances of Trump winning the election. It discusses the impact of real-time events like Kamala Harris joining the campaign on predictions and market prices, emphasizing the significance of Polymarket's success in the crypto space. Additionally, the chapter delves into the demographics and political leanings of Bitcoin owners based on survey findings, showing an even distribution among various groups and a majority being moderates.