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Episode 37: Silicon Valley Bank; Credit Suisse; the Transfer of Wealth from Equity to Debt; Aussie Banks win in Flight to Quality; Default Cycle Ramps Up; Consumer Buffers; Best Trades and more

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The Global Default Cycle Is Playing Out

In this year to date, we've seen the largest number of corporate defaults globally since 2009. According to Standard and Pause, we've even seen household names like Blackstone default on real estate bonds in Europe. And back here in Australia,. we've seen a really big increase in the default rates on non bank residential mortgage backsecurities issued by the likes of Pepper, Resi Mac and La Trobe. We're talking about the misrepayments reported on the thousands of individual home loans that backed them. So the global default cycle ying is as well and truly arrived. And we think it's only going to get a lot worse. Ying is in late 2021.

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