Navigating the Decline in Startup Funding Success Rates

New Carta data shows that 30% of seed-stage startups used to raise a Series A within 2 years of their seed. Now, only 15% do. The bar for Series As is as high as it's ever been. And the number of seed extensions that I see is going up as a result.

But for founders, this is NOT a bad thing. I remember as a seed-stage founder I was obsessed with raising a Series A. But now I've seen startup after startup that raised $8-12M Series A when they didn't truly have product-market fit. Most of those startups ended up hiring too many people, burning too much money, and not growing any faster. They are now money-losing startups with no growth. 

The VCs aren't happy, but they're okay. But the founders aren't. They are at the bottom of the stack. They can't sell their business and can't grow it either. They're stuck between a rock and a hard place.

The solution? If you're not performing at top quartile levels, if you don't have clear undeniable product-market fit, then raise a smaller round. 

Seed extensions might not be what you wanted—but in many cases, it's what you need.

Send me a message to let me know what you think!