Dan Nathan and Guy Adami host a 'vibe session' on the Risk Reversal Podcast, discussing the current state of the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, both down on the first trading day of September. They delve into the historical volatility of September, the implications of a potential 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, and rising long-term Treasury yields. The conversation touches on how higher yields affect high-valuation tech stocks and the implications of recent U.S. tariff decisions on global markets. The hosts also speculate on the upcoming jobs report and its potential revisions, the state of confidence in U.S. economic data, and the impact of geopolitical tensions involving China, Russia, and India. Additionally, the podcast highlights the underperformance of key stocks like Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor, and Microsoft, and discusses the broader economic implications for sectors such as shipping and banking.
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