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No, This Won't Be the Last Election Ever

The Commentary Magazine Podcast

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Polling Predictions and Early Voting Trends

This chapter explores the dynamics of early voting patterns leading up to an election, noting a decline in early votes that raises concerns for the Democratic Party's chances. It discusses various election predictions and modeling techniques while emphasizing the importance of analyzing early voting data in key states like Florida. The chapter also touches on the implications of polling data for specific candidates, humorously contrasting cookie sales with voter sentiment, and highlights the historical significance of early vote reporting in towns like Dixville Notch.

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