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How to reason about COVID, and other hard things (Kelsey Piper)

Rationally Speaking Podcast

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Do You Really Know What You're Doing?

I often run this tension where i also tend to want to tell people to try and figure things out for themselves. And the pushback i get, which i think is totally reasonable, is like, well, maybe people who are really careful and smart can do this. But probably a lot of people are not going to be doing their own. Their own work is notgoing to be better than that simple default huristic. So it's kind of dangerous advice to give. I don't know if you're capable of looking at the world and being like, yo, i got that one wrong? If you're not, then you shouldn't,. shouldn't be doing this in any way.

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