2min chapter

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Paul Mcnamara on the Problem With Turkey, and the Attempt To Save the Lira

Odd Lots

CHAPTER

Turkey's Debt Crisis, Is It Going to Work?

Turkey's central bank put between four and five billion dollars insote to buy up lira and ta, thus ramping the lera very, very much. It would be interesting to see just can the lira sustain these improved valuations, even without monetary discipline. The other thing that we think is probably more of a medium term variable, and will drive other things, is domestic credit growth. But it doesn't really matter if its leras las is that lending picks up, activity picks up. That creates demand for imports into dollars, and it tends to weaken the currency.

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