3min chapter

The Macro Trading Floor cover image

The Fed Will Break Inflation's Back, No Matter What | Teddy Vallee

The Macro Trading Floor

CHAPTER

The Negative Carry in Late Cycle Trading

The bull's eye trade right now, which leaves you a very decent risk reward in terms of how central banks are hiking interest rades directly into recess here. But if they intend on hiking 50 basis points per meeting into a recession, i could easily envisage two to ten spreats in minus 75 basis points, minus a hundred. We've seen that before in inflationary periods of time, for example, in the seventies. Andreas: I don't think many people will volunteer to put them on.

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