4min chapter

The Foreign Affairs Interview cover image

Russia Is Weaker—but Is It Less Threatening?

The Foreign Affairs Interview

CHAPTER

The Russian Defense Industry Is More Self Sufficient Than Other Countries

Russia is more self sufficient than most other countries, but it's main dependencies will be components and also machine tools. Export controls will substantially constrain their access to these components that will have to find work arounds now Russia like Iran is rather well practiced at trying to get around export controls. The more expansive the sanctions regime, the more difficult is to enforce the more it becomes a question of enforcement with the Russian military and Russian intelligence community who are using fake end user certificates shell companies.

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