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The Independent State Legislator Theory Does Not Allow for This to Happen
The independent state legislature theory does not allow for the state legislature after an election to change its mind and appoint its own electors. But they don't need to do that to overturn a presidential election. They could establish in advance an election fraud oversight commission or something, give it all sorts of power to question the validity of the election results. And then gin up manufactured allegations of fraud cast as many democratic ballots as possible into doubt and use pre-established processes to nullify those ballots and hand the win to Republicans.