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Episode 66: Superforecasting

Science Fictions

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The Psychology of Forecasting

This chapter explores the complex relationship between intelligence, particularly IQ, and effective forecasting capabilities. It discusses various cognitive factors that contribute to predictive accuracy, emphasizing the limitations of relying solely on IQ scores. The conversation also highlights practical strategies to improve forecasting skills, illustrating how collective intelligence and adaptive reasoning play crucial roles in achieving more accurate predictions.

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