Bubbleology is the study of whether or not a stock market bubble has happened. This week, we look at if it's possible for us to consistently say that bubbles have occurred in the past. We'll start with jesse and then move on to Jessie and lily.jesse: I've been doing this since 19 82. Never evers a market wide financial collapse that at the heart was not over leverage. That was at the heart of every single collapse i watched happen. The one that i had personal experience with was long term of capital management. And then obviously the great financial crisis, where the firm that i had just left, barsterns, was forced into
Lily Francus is a risk theorist and a quantitative researcher at Moody’s. She is also the author of the ‘Midnight on the Market Momentum’ newsletter. Find Lily on her Twitter at https://twitter.com/nope_its_lily and read her newsletter at https://nopeitslily.substack.com Jesse Livermore is an OSAM research partner and a recurring guest at Infinite Loops. You can connect with him on Twitter at https://twitter.com/Jesse_Livermore and read more about his work at http://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/ Show notes:
- Why all the recent focus on bubbles?
- How the era you grow up in shapes your investment philosophy
- Intrinsic and Extrinsic value
- How leverage impacts pricing
- What is a bubble? And how to identify if you’re in one
- Role of uncertainty in arbitraging
- What makes a bubble pop
- How bubbles set a new floor price
- Do we have enough short sellers?
- Time arbitrage
- Information arbitrage in a hyper-connected world
- Are we currently in a financial bubble?
- Implications of pseudonymity
- Is there a free will?