Dean's low PDOOM and adaptive society

Dean gives a sub‑1% extinction estimate and argues society adapts to disruptive technologies.

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Episode notes

Today's Debate: Should we ban the development of artificial superintelligence until scientists agree it is safe and controllable?

Arguing FOR banning superintelligence until there’s a scientific consensus that it’ll be done safely and controllably and with strong public buy-in: Max Tegmark. He is an MIT professor, bestselling author, and co-founder of the Future of Life Institute whose research has focused on artificial intelligence for the past 8 years.

Arguing AGAINST banning superintelligent AI development: Dean Ball. He is a Senior Fellow at the Foundation for American Innovation who served as a Senior Policy Advisor at the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy under President Trump, where he helped craft America’s AI Action Plan.

Two of the leading voices on AI policy engaged in high-quality, high-stakes debate for the benefit of the public!

This is why I got into the podcast game — because I believe debate is an essential tool for humanity to reckon with the creation of superhuman thinking machines.

Timestamps

0:00 - Episode Preview

1:41 - Introducing The Debate

3:38 - Max Tegmark’s Opening Statement

5:20 - Dean Ball’s Opening Statement

9:01 - Designing an “FDA for AI” and Safety Standards

21:10 - Liability, Tail Risk, and Biosecurity

29:11 - Incremental Regulation, Timelines, and AI Capabilities

54:01 - Max’s Nightmare Scenario

57:36 - The Risks of Recursive Self‑Improvement

1:08:24 - What’s Your P(Doom)?™

1:13:42 - National Security, China, and the AI Race