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#63 – Ben Garfinkel on AI Governance

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The Probability of a Global Catastrophe

If you're two companies that took ends to the probability to extreme value, I think there's a 50% chance that if they release their things to the world, global catastrophe will happen. They really don't want that. But they feel like maybe my competitor will release when there's 60% chance of that happening. So I need to get there first and they're both freaked out about that. You just rationally want a binding agreement that stops you building this thing as I'm just stopping your company. If that's actually the situation, even if there's not a great regulatory framework that's already put into place, there's not the agency.

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