What's the Probability of a Son Becomes Who He Is?

i know there's lots of my sceptic side, i'm more sceptic than i'm a believer. But i'm also a math guy. What is the likelihood of a person saying that, and the son ends up becoming who he is? And that's two billion people for on te sky whill? Again, these are independent of events. Jesus didn't become jesus because off the virgin birth, or aning like that. Is cause of paul. So it doesn't take a miracle to explain the growth of religion. Any religion could do it, as long as they grow one and a half on will be tene - but that's the hind side byus