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The Dismal Returns on Emerging Market Investments
The returns on a long horizon from emerging market investments have been absolutely dismal for a long time. I think that there's a lot of money going into places like Turkey to buy influence rather than for purely economic reasons. What would it entail for the RMB or Chinese debt to start really becoming a meaningful global reserve asset? That whole apparatus for creating savings, 40-50% of GDP has to be at the very least wound back.