Mentum is the idea that markets are priced by imperfect beings called human beings. Momentum, you mentioned earlier, fantastic, fantastic tool. We test it momentum all the way back to the 19 twenties,. It beat the market in every decade, even the depressionary thirties. And so microsofts peruses when they're actually tied to real hedonic outcomes.
Lily Francus is a risk theorist and a quantitative researcher at Moody’s. She is also the author of the ‘Midnight on the Market Momentum’ newsletter. Find Lily on her Twitter at https://twitter.com/nope_its_lily and read her newsletter at https://nopeitslily.substack.com Jesse Livermore is an OSAM research partner and a recurring guest at Infinite Loops. You can connect with him on Twitter at https://twitter.com/Jesse_Livermore and read more about his work at http://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/ Show notes:
- Why all the recent focus on bubbles?
- How the era you grow up in shapes your investment philosophy
- Intrinsic and Extrinsic value
- How leverage impacts pricing
- What is a bubble? And how to identify if you’re in one
- Role of uncertainty in arbitraging
- What makes a bubble pop
- How bubbles set a new floor price
- Do we have enough short sellers?
- Time arbitrage
- Information arbitrage in a hyper-connected world
- Are we currently in a financial bubble?
- Implications of pseudonymity
- Is there a free will?