Mantlbrot was a mathematician who came up with fractles and with a lot of super cool mantl sets, et cetera. He also was, i loved his mind, because everything he looked at, he was like, i wonder why that is that way? And so he went and got the daily price. From that data nd, he did some other data sets as well that had equally long time periods. His conclusion: markets were not log normal, they were chaotic normal.
Lily Francus is a risk theorist and a quantitative researcher at Moody’s. She is also the author of the ‘Midnight on the Market Momentum’ newsletter. Find Lily on her Twitter at https://twitter.com/nope_its_lily and read her newsletter at https://nopeitslily.substack.com Jesse Livermore is an OSAM research partner and a recurring guest at Infinite Loops. You can connect with him on Twitter at https://twitter.com/Jesse_Livermore and read more about his work at http://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/ Show notes:
- Why all the recent focus on bubbles?
- How the era you grow up in shapes your investment philosophy
- Intrinsic and Extrinsic value
- How leverage impacts pricing
- What is a bubble? And how to identify if you’re in one
- Role of uncertainty in arbitraging
- What makes a bubble pop
- How bubbles set a new floor price
- Do we have enough short sellers?
- Time arbitrage
- Information arbitrage in a hyper-connected world
- Are we currently in a financial bubble?
- Implications of pseudonymity
- Is there a free will?