The value stock has some of its flows present right now, so it can put those cash flows back into itself. And by that very fact, it ends up having to fall less to deliver the same return increase. The arbitrage takes such a long time to actually play out, you cauld get away with ignoring it for decades as being relevant. But the fact that people know that there is an arbitrage creates a foot in the door for that relationship. That's often how bubbles pop. They don't pop because the actual arbitroge a takes a hundred years plays out or because people actually ecide and decide, i'm going to take that hundred year arbitroge they pop because
Lily Francus is a risk theorist and a quantitative researcher at Moody’s. She is also the author of the ‘Midnight on the Market Momentum’ newsletter. Find Lily on her Twitter at https://twitter.com/nope_its_lily and read her newsletter at https://nopeitslily.substack.com Jesse Livermore is an OSAM research partner and a recurring guest at Infinite Loops. You can connect with him on Twitter at https://twitter.com/Jesse_Livermore and read more about his work at http://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/ Show notes:
- Why all the recent focus on bubbles?
- How the era you grow up in shapes your investment philosophy
- Intrinsic and Extrinsic value
- How leverage impacts pricing
- What is a bubble? And how to identify if you’re in one
- Role of uncertainty in arbitraging
- What makes a bubble pop
- How bubbles set a new floor price
- Do we have enough short sellers?
- Time arbitrage
- Information arbitrage in a hyper-connected world
- Are we currently in a financial bubble?
- Implications of pseudonymity
- Is there a free will?