On some level, any complex decision is implicitly a prediction about the future. So you're making predictions about complex events in the future that involve lots of variables. And it turns out human beings are terrible at predicting the future. The more famous they were, the more likely they were to have terrible predictive powers.
In the final installment of our week-long exploration into the art and science of decision-making, we hear from acclaimed science journalist Steven Johnson, who provides a step-by-step process for making life-altering decisions.
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