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Steno's Signals: The Recession That Never Was

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

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The Relationship Between Real Wage Growth and Labor Demand

The relationship that we see between real wage growth and labor demand is upside down. The second reason why this recession risk kept being postponed was the access savings build up through the pandemic. And third, surveys struggled to get things right in a high inflation environment. If excess savings are gone, then the consumer will likely face an uphill battle buying the same volumes as earlier.

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