The Probability of Different Harms Caused by Unsafe AI Systems

In terms of the likelihood of different harms caused by AI, I think that there's a number that I find reasonably likely in the sense that I would perhaps give them even more than 10% chance. So it seems reasonably likely to me that like law enforcement becoming automatable and human labor losing its value is bad for democracy or human inclusive input decision making. And then compared to some of these other longer term concerns, I don't assign as high of a probability to say specifically catastrophic risks from unsafe AI systems. At the same time though, for some of the profitability reasons we're discussing in the first part of the interview, I do actually think that that's probably from a long term perspective,