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The Importance of Money Growth Rates
Mervyn King has been doing some nice talks for city clients where he actually echoes the points that I'm making about the flows of money being important. So in the central bank models, not only is inflation potentially self-reinforcing, but also the level of rates almost mechanically without looking at cash flow. And even when it comes to things like unemployment, again, it's the changes that are actually more associated with recessions rather than the levels in themselves.