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Lessons From The Asian Financial Crisis | Russell Napier

Forward Guidance

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The Importance of Understanding the Excess in Thailand

The contagion started to go to Malaysia, Indonesia and the Philippines. Nobody did very much about it until Thailand devalued their exchange rates on 2nd of July 1997. The mechanism for unveiling the excess was the same for everybody in Asia. It's really quite a shocking story for those who believe that markets can discount because the markets didn't discount what was happening in Thailand.

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