How to Make It in the Book Business

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"I have a book that would bein bookstores to morrow. Doest mean that all lucka, i i he ing a lott of round truths that people make that are not warranted" "You need, as much as as the great pastour said, you need to make your own luck." 'We know pretty much how to make it in the book businessand am now part of the book business' ''i'm going to sometimes explore it more psychologically in my new project,. The project i'm running with zengolstein on on research in what i call te non ludic in ecological uncertainty'"

Nassim Taleb talks about the challenges of coping with uncertainty, predicting events, and understanding history. This wide-ranging conversation looks at investment, health, history and other areas where data play a key role. Taleb, the author of Fooled By Randomness and The Black Swan, imagines two countries, Mediocristan and Extremistan where the ability to understand the past and predict the future is radically different. Taleb's contention is that we often bring our intuition from Mediocristan for the events of Extremistan, leading us to error. The result is a tendency to be blind-sided by the unexpected.