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Did Shutting Down Schools Help or Hurt? A COVID-19 Postmortem

The Michael Shermer Show

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The Pitfalls of Predictive Models in Pandemic Response

This chapter explores the shortcomings of predictive models used during the COVID-19 pandemic, critiquing the reliability of expert forecasts versus non-expert insights. It highlights the arbitrary assumptions behind many predictions and questions the credibility of established public health guidance.

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