Philosophy is supposed to be non empirical, but you bring in some empiricism there. I use emperical argument by saying, if i want to tell you that all statistics is the drunk, all i have to give you is one example,. That dominates all the tales. You see, all you need is one simple example to show that the theory doesn't work. Well, i i don't even have to provide statistics. Just one simple incident, a ca can prove i theory wrong.
Nassim Taleb talks about the challenges of coping with uncertainty, predicting events, and understanding history. This wide-ranging conversation looks at investment, health, history and other areas where data play a key role. Taleb, the author of Fooled By Randomness and The Black Swan, imagines two countries, Mediocristan and Extremistan where the ability to understand the past and predict the future is radically different. Taleb's contention is that we often bring our intuition from Mediocristan for the events of Extremistan, leading us to error. The result is a tendency to be blind-sided by the unexpected.