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New Gurus: 8. Prophets of Doom
Influenced
Is There a Future in History?
Peter Turchen is a theoretical biologist by training. He's been working in the new field that his colleagues have created called Clio Dynamics. And our goal is to turn history into a real science, he says. Peter wanted to create a mathematical model to explain how civilizations rise and how they fall. In 2010, he came to a terrible conclusion: We've had a good run, it's been just over 150 years. Political instability comes in waves. One of those waves would hit America in the 2020s.
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