The US has a track record of tripping up its enemies by weaponizing the US dollar. The Ukraine war actually changes the equation somewhat in that at least now you have Russia, Russia that always was a little bit reluctant on trading in RMB. It's sort of beggars can't be choosers kind of thing. A few years ago China was buying about 4 billion dollars worth of commodities from Russia every month. Now it's about 12 billion a month. And it's probably going to keep growing because they turn to people like BHP who are mining companies there.
IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:
02:52 - Louis’s current assessment of the global economy and financial markets.
06:15 - Why Louis thinks the current price of the S&P has not fully priced in the risks of a recession.
07:52 - Is now the time to buy the dip or remain more defensive?
07:52 - How to approach investing in a bear market, and what investments Louis sees as the most promising sectors.
10:39 - Why he believes the energy sector is in a new structural bull market.
17:54 - Louis’s outlook on Chinese equities including Alibaba, and emerging markets.
26:08 - How to construct a well built portfolio using Louis’s 6 building blocks framework, and examples of investments that fall into each.
36:26 - Louis’s 4 quadrant framework used to link different macro environments to an appropriate investing strategy.
40:49 - Why gold hasn’t performed as expected this year in USD terms, and Louis outlook going forward.
47:48 - Why Louis thinks moving to a deflationary bust is not likely.
52:40 - The risk of China de-dollarization, what this means and what implications this would have for global markets.
And much, much more!
*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.
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