Refinance timing and the rule of thumb

Learn what 2026 might bring for mortgage rates, home prices, and affordability, plus smart steps to buy or refinance.

Will mortgage rates drop in 2026, and is it finally a good time to buy a home? How can you get your finances ready to buy or refinance, even if prices still feel out of reach? Hosts Sean Pyles and Elizabeth Ayoola discuss mortgages and the housing market to help you understand what to watch this year and how to plan your next move. But first, senior news writer Anna Helhoski and NerdWallet senior economist Elizabeth Renter join Sean to discuss what could shape the economy in 2026. They discuss how tariffs may filter into prices, what a cooling labor market could mean for jobs and wages, and why rising household debt delinquencies are a red flag to watch.

Then, Abby Badach Doyle, NerdWallet mortgage Nerd, joins Sean and Elizabeth to discuss home buying and refinancing in 2026. They discuss how inventory and mortgage rates shifted through 2025, how Fed rate cuts can influence mortgage rates before they happen, and ways to make the dream of homeownership more realistic.

Use NerdWallet’s free calculator to see how much house you can afford: https://www.nerdwallet.com/mortgages/calculators/how-much-house-can-i-afford

Use NerdWallet’s free rent vs buy calculator to find out which option is best for you: https://www.nerdwallet.com/mortgages/calculators/rent-vs-buy-calculator 

NerdWallet’s free mortgage refinance calculator can help you decide whether to refinance: https://www.nerdwallet.com/mortgages/calculators/refinance-calculator  

See all of NerdWallet’s 2026 Best-Of Awards: https://www.nerdwallet.com/l/awards?utm_source=sm&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=cm_organic_010826_podcast_sm_desc_allepisodes_best-of-awards 

Want us to review your budget? Fill out this form — completely anonymously if you want — and we might feature your budget in a future segment! https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLScK53yAufsc4v5UpghhVfxtk2MoyooHzlSIRBnRxUPl3hKBig/viewform?usp=header

In their conversation, the Nerds discuss: housing market 2026, mortgage rates 2026, home prices 2026, 30-year mortgage rate, mortgage refinance, refinance calculator, when to refinance, home affordability, down payment assistance, closing cost assistance, first-time homebuyer programs, buying a house in 2026, house hunting in January, winter home buying, seller’s market vs buyer’s market, housing inventory, housing supply, home buying budget, rent vs buy calculator, rent vs buy, credit score for mortgage, saving for a house, emergency savings, moving costs, closing costs, homeowners insurance costs, wildfire risk insurance, home repairs budget, buyer’s agent, inflation and mortgage rates, Fed rate cuts and mortgages, tariffs and inflation, and household debt delinquency.

To send the Nerds your money questions, call or text the Nerd hotline at 901-730-6373 or email podcast@nerdwallet.com.

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