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Is a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Inevitable? The Future of Cross-Strait Relations and Washington's Commitments to Taipei

None Of The Above

00:00

Does Taiwan Need Political Leadership?

The biggest determinant of whether Taiwan tries to declare independence is the political leadership of Taiwan itself. I think that China has a very important role in working with the Nationalist Party, in order to achieve reunification. Elections will be held just one year from now in Taiwan. The presidential election is January 2024. There is certainly a possibility that the KMT could return to power. That might lead to diminished alarm in Beijing about the possibility for independence.

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