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SI168: The Trading Secrets of Trend Followers ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Top Traders Unplugged

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How to Detect a False Positive Signal in a Channel System

Moving average models are sort of very linear systems. You're either in or out. A channel system, or system of breakout systems, where you have to wait until prices get above a certain level before you enter it is born of a nonlinear system. So what you're doing is is that you're looking for some acceleration. You're looking for behavior that that starts to change rapidly. And so by the nature, you're going to have amy. You may get fewer signals because you have toWait for this acceleration. Sometimes they don't extend. But there will be a fair number of false positives. Yes.

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