This chapter explores the concept of capital flow bonanzas and the patterns of inflation after banking crises. It discusses the injection of reserves by the Fed and its potential impact on inflation, as well as the link between banking crises and inflation in emerging markets.
Carmen Reinhart of the University of Maryland talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the ideas in her book This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly (co-authored with Kenneth Rogoff). They discuss the role of capital inflows in financial crises, the challenges of learning the right lessons, and what is generally true about financial crises over time and place. Reinhart applies these observations to the current crisis, discusses the possibility of the U.S. defaulting on its sovereign debt, and discusses the possibility of financial reforms that might make a difference.