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The Past and Future of Polling ft. G Elliott Morris

The New Liberal Podcast

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What's the Story From the Book?

eliot: The book is about a forecast run by huffington post bolster. In two thousand 16, you have natalye jackson running the statistical model. She's told very curtly that they are going to do an election forecast period. And so she makes this decision. Eliot: Her model doesn't have a large enough standard error on it. It doesn't necessarily have a largeenough margin of error or what we call the standard errors in models. He says some people out there who did this in a fairly, i don't know if thoughtless is the right way, but certainly not precise, not accurate way all.

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