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Prophet and Zillow's $10 Billion Mistake [Hilary Parker, Roger Peng]

The Swyx Mixtape

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Is That the Right Model for Forecasting?

Propit uses a very specific style of forecasting model. The argument that other people were making rely, oh, that's the wrong model. It does feel very, very presumptuous to me. And it's like, why limit your hires? I can understand not wanting to hire someone who's like, let's rip it out. But in some ways i actually wish places were more like honest, that that's what they want from people. When decisions like this are made at the executive level, there is always arro bonce and confidence. This may or may not even be related to the data rit science.

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