#86 (Reaction) - On Confidence and Evidence: Reacting to Brett Hall and Peter Boghossian (Part 2)
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The Nature of Confidence in Science
This chapter explores the complexities of confidence in scientific explanations, focusing on how theories evolve with technological advancements and the challenges of consensus in the face of competing ideas like dark energy and dark matter. It discusses cognitive strategies for decision-making and the intricate relationship between confidence, evidence, and Bayesian reasoning. Key examples, including Arthur Eddington's experiment, highlight the importance of accumulating evidence and appropriate sample sizes in bolstering scientific confidence.
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