I'm Not Going to Make You a Bet on That With Your Best Friend

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If you're searching for friends or a maid or a marriage partner, should you be thinking probablistically, but with bad probabilities? It's important in our lives to understand what the purpose of the interaction is. So when i went on my first date with my husband, my brother and brother in law immediately decided to make a market. And it it was whether we were going to get married. I think that my brother in law ended a bidding twenty three. My brother then called me up cracking up that his brother in law had been twenty three when we hadn't been on a first date yet....

For Annie Duke, the poker table is a perfect laboratory to study human decision-making — including her own. “It really exposes you to the way that you’re thinking,” she says, “how hard it is to avoid decision traps, even when you’re perfectly well aware that those decision traps exist. And how easy it is for like your mind to slip into those traps.” She’s spent a lot of time studying human cognition at the poker table and off it — her best-known academic article is about psycholinguistics and her forthcoming book is titled How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices.

Annie joined Tyler to explore how payoffs aren’t always monetary, the benefits and costs of probabilistic thinking, the “magical thinking” behind why people buy fire insurance but usually don’t get prenups, the psychology behind betting on shark migrations, how her most famous linguistics paper took on Steven Pinker, how public policy would change if only the top 500 poker players voted, why she wasn’t surprised to lose Celebrity Apprentice to Joan Rivers, whether Trump has a tell, the number one trait of top poker players, and more.

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Recorded June 24th, 2020 Other ways to connect

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