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Former Senior CIA Analysts on China: Chris Johnson and John Culver

Intelligence Matters

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Can China Use Force Against Tiwan?

If ti on, backed by especially the united states, took steps toward permanent separation to morrow, china would go to war. So it isn't just a military calculation that there are, you know, a few more turns of the screw and and tightening of the bolts, and then the p l a is going to be ready. And that will drive china's decision. Ilremain a political decision. i think even for shejin pig and, you i think chris characterized his consolidation of power pretty correctly,. but even for she tiwan, is a crisis to be avoided, not an opportunity to be seized.

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