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Understanding Crisis Alpha
This chapter explores the significance of 'crisis alpha' during market losses and the different responses to crises. It examines the complexities and challenges faced by trend-following strategies in adapting to rapid market changes and the implications for investment decision-making.
Along with Katy Kaminski, we discuss how the current disruptions in the economy and markets cause a change in investors’ behaviour. We dive deep into the interconnection between inflation, bonds and volatility and we discuss how to build a portfolio that performs well in economic downturns. We also discuss the difference between a crisis versus a correction and the evolution when it comes to "model speed" within the CTA industry, the importance of sticking to the process in times of uncertainty and much more.
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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:47 - What has been on our radar recently?
02:15 - Have investors internalized the new Divergent economies and policies?
05:37 - Are investors mistaking convergence for divergence and vice versa?
08:57 - Industry performance update
17:19 - Connecting the dots
23:35 - Bonds - Why are they Behaving Badly?
27:59 - Conditional return distribution - what and why?
30:04 - Alternative markets and the 60/40 struggle
35:29 - The role of crisis alpha and a discussion on speed
42:42 - Thoughts on carry in the CTA industry
47:29 - Did the VIX really hit 65?
55:34 - Sticking to the process
Copyright © 2024 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
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Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode