2min chapter

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Toby Ord | Existential Risk and Existential Hope

The Foresight Institute Podcast

CHAPTER

The Existential Catastrophe and the Expected Value Story

The idea was to think about an existential catastrophe as a sudden drop in the expected value of the future. In particular, it deals with cases that are not fully inescapable. So you might think that perfectly inescapable totalitarian regime would be an existential catastrophe. But what about one if we enter such a regime that there's a 1% chance we could still get out of it? Well, for the potential story, it's a bit unclear what to say about it.

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