2min chapter

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas cover image

86 | Martin Rees on Threats to Humanity, Prospects for Posthumanity, and Life in the Universe

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas

CHAPTER

The Problem With Probabilistic Estimates

The probability that theories are wrong is of course not all that small. And that's hard to quantify. That's why utter surprises can't be ruled out and of course they can't be quantified. But if there is a potential effect that we can create artificially which we don't think ever happened in nature then we perhaps should be open minded.

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