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Peter Turchin: End Times

The Book Club

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The Importance of Theory Neutrality in Historical Data

When I started on this project, I did not expect to see such clear patterns. We don't want to overestimate it. So elite production seems to be pretty ubiquitous feature, but emiseration is often present,. You can have outbreaks of political instability, hural is a result of elite production, for example. But back to your question, I started with a bunch of naive ideas which I have gotten from reading historical romance.

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