
10. Peter Wildeford on Forecasting
The Inside View
00:00
Am I Taking Nto Account for Chemical Weapons?
The probability of am having a new in m london? Am killing am some people living there? There was a question on the effective altrn form about, ye, what's the probility of this happening? I think they a criteria where they multiply by the actual number of people that were killed. So if maybe half of the people in london were killed, it's a then you get half a chance dying if you're ever there. Thats kenofen ideed adetail. But nay. How would you approach uf like decomposing a question like this, and too different, like barth where you can condition unpoablitis. Yes,
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