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Chinese Spy Balloon Fallout: Military Expert John Culver

Intelligence Matters

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Is There a Crisis With China?

I think the atmosphere has degraded to the point where we could have a crisis at any point. The balloon incident over the last week or so has really underscored the nature of the political environment for a major crisis with China. You've seen adjustments in US policy, but not without sort of breaking the standard rubrics you mentioned about strategic ambiguity and commitment to one China. I also think that visits by Speaker Pelosi last August in a prospective visit later this year by Speaker McCarthy are setting kind of a new normal.

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