Do You Think We're in a Recession?

We're down about 20% from the peak in the S&P 500. Some experts are still debating if we're in a recession or not, even though the data is pretty clear,. But I guess I'm just wondering, do you think the market has already priced in a recession? And then if that data comes out, we could see further corrections.

Transcript

chevron_right

Play full episode

chevron_right

Transcript

Episode notes

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:

02:52 - Louis’s current assessment of the global economy and financial markets.
06:15 - Why Louis thinks the current price of the S&P has not fully priced in the risks of a recession.
07:52 - Is now the time to buy the dip or remain more defensive?
07:52 - How to approach investing in a bear market, and what investments Louis sees as the most promising sectors.
10:39 - Why he believes the energy sector is in a new structural bull market.
17:54 - Louis’s outlook on Chinese equities including Alibaba, and emerging markets.
26:08 - How to construct a well built portfolio using Louis’s 6 building blocks framework, and examples of investments that fall into each.
36:26 - Louis’s 4 quadrant framework used to link different macro environments to an appropriate investing strategy.
40:49 - Why gold hasn’t performed as expected this year in USD terms, and Louis outlook going forward.
47:48 - Why Louis thinks moving to a deflationary bust is not likely.
52:40 - The risk of China de-dollarization, what this means and what implications this would have for global markets.
And much, much more!

*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.

BOOKS AND RESOURCES

Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Kyle and the other community members.
Check out: Gavekal Research.
Check out Louis’s Book: Avoiding the Punch: Investing in Uncertain Times.
Related Episode: Risk Management Techniques & Studying Warren Buffett w/ Max Rudolph - MI193.

NEW TO THE SHOW?

Check out our Millennial Investing Starter Packs.
Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here.
Try Kyle’s favorite tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance.
Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services.
Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets.
Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts.

SPONSORS

Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors:

⁠CFI Education⁠
⁠Airbnb⁠

Connect with Louis: Twitter | Linkedin

Connect with Rebecca: Twitter | Instagram

HELP US OUT!

Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it!

Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

The AI-powered Podcast Player

Save insights by tapping your headphones, chat with episodes, discover the best highlights - and more!

Get the app

Home Top podcasts Popular guests